Techno-Economic and Environmental Study of Grid-Connected Solar Geothermal Battery System in Tunisian Universities
Yassine Nefzi1*,
Hacen Dhahri2,
1Department of Mechanical Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Gabes, 6029 Gabes, Tunisia .22Thermal and Energetic Systems Studies Laboratory (LESTE), LR99ES31, College of Engineering, University of Monastir, 5000 Monastir, Tunisia.
This study aims to evaluate a hybrid energy system combining solar photovoltaic panels, ground-source heat pumps (GSHPs), and battery storage, within a unified university-based model applied to three distinct Tunisian climate zones: Beja, Gabes, and Borma. The methodology relied on a dynamic integration of OpenStudio and TRNSYS to accurately simulate annual thermal and electrical loads. A total of 35 design configurations per city were investigated, varying in borehole number and spacing, while system components were standardized to 1,137 photovoltaic panels rated at 450 W and 120 LiFePO₄ batteries with a storage capacity of 13.44 kWh. Results revealed that the imbalance between cooling and heating demands leads to gradual thermal accumulation in the ground, reducing system efficiency over time. To assess mitigation strategies, a composite objective function incorporating four indicators was employed: thermal accumulation, ground field volume, instantaneous operating cost rate, and grid dependency. The optimization process identified configurations capable of limiting ground temperature rise and supporting stable operation. Sensitivity analysis showed that increasing the weight of economic and spatial indicators reshuffles the ranking of certain configurations, highlighting the importance of prioritization based on design goals. The selected configurations demonstrated the ability to cover more than 70% of annual demand, with levelized cost of energy (LCOE) ranging from 0.023 to 0.114 USD/kWh and payback periods between 23 and 44 years, depending on whether the system operates under Tunisia’s restrictive grid policies or more supportive international frameworks. Annual loads ranged from 965 to 1,135 MWh, with peak cooling reaching 660 kW and heating between 324 and 416 kW. Simulations also revealed seasonal variations in battery performance, with average daily charge levels exceeding 50–55% in July and dropping to 17–20% in January, depending on location. The study emphasizes the need to align technical configurations with regulatory reforms to ensure economic viability and accelerate the transition to sustainable energy systems in academic institutions.
Keywords – solar–geothermal systems, thermal imbalance, energy modeling, policy, optimization.
The economic and social advancement of modern societies is strongly tied to
the reliable availability of energy. As a fundamental driver of industrial
productivity, infrastructure development, and human welfare, energy plays a
central role in shaping national trajectories. However, global energy
production remains predominantly dependent on fossil fuels [1], which
continue to accelerate climate change, environmental degradation, and
resource depletion [2]. In response, a worldwide transition toward
renewable and sustainable energy technologies has emerged as an urgent
imperative. Driven by concerns about climate change and global warming, the
global installed capacity of renewable energy grew by 50% in 2023. By the
end of 2023, the global installed capacities of renewables such as solar,
wind, hydropower, geothermal, marine, and biogas reached about 3.372
terawatts (TW), including 1.6 TW for PV solar energy systems and 16.335
gigawatts (GW) for geothermal [3]. This growth reflects a profound global
shift toward clean and sustainable energy solutions, particularly in the
building sector, which is responsible for 28% of global CO₂ emissions and
nearly 40% of total primary energy consumption in developed countries [4].
Given that urban populations are projected to rise from 55% today to 68% by
2050, improving energy performance in buildings has become a key pillar of
sustainable development [5]. Efforts now focus on reducing energy
consumption and emissions through passive design, high-efficiency systems,
and on-site renewable integration [6]. Among these strategies, hybrid
renewable energy systems that combine PV with geothermal sources have
gained particular attention. These systems balance the intermittency of
solar energy with the thermal stability of ground source heat pumps,
offering year-round reliability [7]. For instance, D’Agostino et al. [8]
showed that integrating PV with GSHPs can reduce primary energy use by up
to 55% and CO₂ emissions by 67%, especially in cold climates. Moreover,
techno-economic assessments highlight the synergy between technological
innovation and policy support. A U.S.-based study on net-zero energy
buildings (NZEBs) emphasized that improving PV efficiency can shorten
payback periods more significantly than carbon pricing measures alone [9].
This suggests that the convergence of technical performance and
institutional incentives is critical to accelerating the adoption of such
systems [10]. While numerous studies have investigated the integration of
solar and geothermal systems in residential and commercial buildings across
Europe and North America, limited research has focused on the applicability
and performance of such hybrid configurations in North African
contexts—particularly within university infrastructure. This regional gap
is critical, as higher education institutions are both high energy
consumers and potential models for sustainable transformation. Addressing
this gap, the present study examines the energy performance and
environmental implications of solar-geothermal systems in university
buildings, aiming to provide a replicable framework for similar
institutions across arid and semi-arid regions. Against this backdrop, the
present study investigates advanced configurations that combine
photovoltaic and geothermal technologies to support sustainable energy
transitions in the building sector. It aims to assess their performance and
feasibility in North African climates, using simulation tools to explore
their potential for reducing energy consumption and environmental impact in
higher education buildings.
2. LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems (HRES)
Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems (HRES) offer effective solutions for
meeting increasing energy demands, particularly in regions with
infrastructure limitations or unstable supply. These systems combine two or
more renewable sources—such as solar, wind, biomass, or geothermal—along
with storage or backup units to enhance reliability and performance [11].
Recent studies from Libya and Gaza have evaluated hybrid PV-biogas systems
adapted to daily residential demands of approximately 1,074 kWh, with peak
loads reaching 84.5 kWp. Simulations conducted using HOMER Pro and
performance metrics based on IEC 61724 demonstrated strong technical and
economic viability [12][13]. On a national scale, an integrated assessment
in Palestine using SAM and HOMER revealed that well-designed hybrid systems
could supply up to 82% of the annual electricity demand while exporting
surplus energy to the grid [14]. In the industrial sector, a
grid-connected PV system deployed at a soap manufacturing facility in
Rwanda achieved a 50% reduction in electricity costs and an expected profit
of $768,000 over 30 years, with a payback period of 10 years [15]. A hybrid
PV-wind-diesel system installed at a quarantine center in Gaza also proved
highly efficient, reducing the cost of energy by 54.89% compared to
diesel-only configurations [16]. Advanced control strategies, such as the
Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA), have further improved microgrid
performance by optimizing sizing and operation of PV-wind-battery systems,
achieving a LCOE as low as $0.01/kWh and an LPSP of just 0.08% [17]. From a
long-term planning perspective, energy modeling in Ghana using the IAEA’s
MESSAGE tool showed that a diversified energy mix could reduce carbon
emissions by 55.27% and energy costs by 32.3% by 2048 [18]. Nonetheless,
other studies have emphasized ongoing challenges such as inadequate
financing, weak regulatory frameworks, and limited smart grid
infrastructure [19][20]. These findings reinforce the importance of
designing hybrid systems tailored to local resource availability, climatic
conditions, and economic constraints, particularly in North African
contexts such as Tunisia.
2.2 Geothermal Heat Pumps and Their Integration in HRES
In this context, geothermal and solar-assisted heat pumps are gaining
traction as core components of hybrid systems. Heat pumps offer an efficient
alternative to conventional boilers in both new and renovated buildings,
contributing to the achievement of European directive targets. According to
directive 2009/28/EC, aerothermal, geothermal, and hydrothermal sources are
classified as renewable energy sources [21]. While air-source heat pumps are
widely used, their performance fluctuates with ambient air temperature. By
contrast, geothermal heat pumps (GHPs) benefit from the year-round thermal
stability of the ground, ensuring more consistent and efficient operation
[22]. Below a depth of approximately 10 meters, soil and groundwater
temperatures exhibit minimal seasonal variation, depending on soil
composition and moisture content. Ground Source Heat Pump (GSHP) systems
consequently achieve high Coefficients of Performance (COP), lower energy
consumption, and environmentally friendly operation, making them ideal for
both public and residential buildings [23]. Understanding subsurface
thermal dynamics is thus essential. Under Tunisian conditions, Boughanmi et
al. [24] observed that at a depth of 3 meters, soil temperature remains
relatively stable during summer, ranging between 27.5°C and 20°C., while
Allouhi [25] proposed an integrated power-to-heat system coupling surplus
PV electricity with open-loop GHPs. Similarly, Rodríguez Alejandro et al.
[26] conducted experimental and numerical investigations on a vertical GHP
in Mexico, analyzing its behavior under real climate conditions and
applying CFD and thermoeconomic modeling to allocate costs across system
components.
To further improve heat transfer in ground exchangers, Saeidi et al. [27]
proposed novel designs that achieved a 37% increase in exchanger efficiency
and a 3.8% drop in outlet fluid temperature in cooling mode. Mahmoud Fouad
[28] also assessed the performance of GSHPs in hot, arid climates for
residential cooling applications. In parallel, Acar and Kaska [29] studied
solar-assisted ground-source heat pump systems with various solar
collectors, revealing the value of hybridizing solar and geothermal sources
to optimize energy use. Urban deployment strategies were addressed by
Ramos-Escudero et al. [30], who developed a spatial optimization tool to
facilitate GSHP adoption in densely built environments. Salhein et al. [31]
further demonstrated that appropriate borehole spacing minimizes thermal
interference and ensures long-term operational efficiency. Collectively,
these advances underscore the growing viability of GSHPs as a key pillar in
renewable hybrid heating and cooling strategies.
2.3 Battery Storage Systems in HRES
Battery storage plays a pivotal role in enhancing the autonomy and
stability of HRES. Integrating solar and other renewable sources into
buildings supports grid independence and emission reductions [32]. The
rapid advancement in battery technologies has driven growing interest in
evaluating the feasibility of renewable systems supported by electrical
storage, particularly for building applications [33]. Research confirms
that batteries are a practical solution—especially in off-grid areas—for
improving the exploitation of renewable energy [34]. As technology has
matured, energy storage systems have become increasingly widespread in both
residential and industrial sectors [35]. Liu et al. developed a system
combining PVT modules, heat pumps, and thermoelectric generators, where
battery storage mitigated solar radiation variability [36]. Silva et al.,
assessing an off-grid Amazonian town, showed that batteries were more
cost-effective than hydrogen storage [37]. Conversely, Behzadi and
Arabkoohsar raised concerns about the reliability of two-generation systems
without storage [38]. Several comparative studies—such as that of Wang et
al.—have demonstrated battery superiority over ice or PCM-based storage in
terms of energy savings [39]. In Greece, a PV-diesel-battery system
achieved a renewable penetration rate of 41.7% for a laboratory building
[40], while Zhang et al. demonstrated the cost-effectiveness of battery
storage over hydrogen in Sweden [41]. Further studies by Ozcan et al. [42]
and Boruah & Chandel [43] explored performance optimization under
diverse conditions to improve grid resilience. Zhang et al. [44] designed a
zero-energy building powered by a diesel-solar-battery mix. Hemmati [45]
proposed a mobile battery swapping station that reduced system costs by 5%
compared to stationary setups. Innovative battery chemistries were also
explored. Wang et al. [46] utilized zinc-ion batteries for direct solar
storage, and Li [47] optimized PV-battery
setups for Australian households, achieving $2,500 annual savings with a
6.1 kWh battery. Schram et al. [48] analyzed Dutch homes, identifying
optimal battery sizes between 0.5 and 9 kWh based on usage patterns.
Finally, Talent and Du [49] optimized PV-battery sizing strategies for
various tariff regimes, maximizing net present value for buildings of
different scales.
3. CONTRIBUTION OF THE RECENT STUDY
This study presents a significant contribution to the field of hybrid
renewable energy systems (HRES) by conducting a comprehensive
multi-climatic evaluation of a system integrating photovoltaic panels,
geothermal heat pumps with vertical borehole fields, and battery storage.
While prior studies have assessed the influence of climate variability on
renewable system performance [50], and others have focused on
design-related parameters [51], few have systematically combined both
climatic and design dimensions within a unified dynamic simulation
framework. To address this gap, a standardized university building model
was developed in OpenStudio and EnergyPlus to generate annual thermal and
electrical loads. This was coupled with a TRNSYS platform to simulate full
system dynamics, including electric control, heating, and hot water
subsystems. The study evaluates 35 configurations per city (Beja, Gabes,
Borma), generated from seven borehole quantities and five spacing values,
enabling detailed exploration of the interaction between climatic
variability and geothermal field design. The simulation incorporates
battery storage operation based on production–demand balance, dynamic
control of the number of active heat pumps based on real-time demand, and
hot water production based on solar availability with auxiliary heating
support when needed. System performance is evaluated in terms of actual
energy demand, grid dependency, operating cost, carbon emissions, and
supply reliability.
The main contributions of this study are:
A parametric comparison of 35 design configurations per city,
assessing the combined effects of borefield layout and climatic
conditions.
A unified simulation workflow integrating OpenStudio/EnergyPlus for
building load modeling and TRNSYS for system-level dynamic analysis.
A multi-objective evaluation framework based on normalized
indicators—soil temperature rise, borefield footprint, instantaneous
cost rate, and share of clean energy—with a weighted scoring
method for ranking alternatives.
Integration of exclusion criteria to eliminate thermally unstable
configurations (e.g., excessive long-term ground temperature increase),
ensuring the technical feasibility of selected solutions.
The proposed HRES's primary goal is to supply electricity to the on-grid
building and store any excess electricity in the battery.
The transiently simulated proposed system utilizes two types of
photovoltaic panels—roof and green space panels—as energy generators,
along with a battery bank, heat pump, evacuated tube collector,
auxiliary heater, and hot water tank.
Furthermore, this system employs three types of controllers: a power
controller, an HVAC controller, and a hot water system controller, all of
which monitor system performance. A comprehensive illustration of the
system layout, including the arrangement of all components, is provided in
Figure 1, facilitating an understanding of the system's structure and
operation.
Figure 1:Schematic representation of the suggested system for the near-zero energy building.
4.2 Energy flow management and control strategy
OpenStudio-EnergyPlus calculates the building’s thermal load and transfers
the data to TRNSYS. Photovoltaic (PV) panels generate electricity based on
hourly meteorological data. The system controller evaluates whether the
generated energy exceeds demand, leading to two possible scenarios:
Surplus Energy Scenario: If energy production exceeds
demand, the excess electricity is stored in the battery. If the battery
reaches its capacity limit, the surplus energy is exported to the grid.
Deficit Energy Scenario: If the generated renewable
energy is insufficient to meet the building’s demand, the system first
utilizes stored energy in the battery. If both stored and generated
energy are inadequate, the required electricity is drawn from the grid.
This control logic is illustrated in Figure 2-a, which presents a flowchart
simplifying the energy dispatch strategy across PV production, battery, and
grid resources. The diagram enhances clarity by visually representing the
system’s decision-making under surplus and deficit scenarios.
Within the TRNSYS framework, this logic is executed by the inverter
component, which coordinates energy flows among system elements under
varying load conditions.
Figure 2-a:Energy management flow diagram.
4.3 Domestic hot water supply and control strategy
The domestic hot water (DHW) supply is primarily provided by an evacuated
solar collector, with an auxiliary heater serving as a backup when solar
energy is insufficient. The system includes a storage tank and a pump to
ensure efficient hot water distribution. The pump operation follows a
control logic based on two independent conditions: sufficient solar
radiation or a demand for hot water in the building. The control signal is
defined as follows:
- Rad (W/m²) represents the incident solar radiation on the collector, with
a threshold of 100 W/m², ensuring effective solar heating under typical
operating conditions.
- \(V_{DHW}\) (L) represents the domestic hot water demand in the building, ensuring that
the pump is activated only when demand exceeds 1 liter, preventing
unnecessary activation for minimal consumption.
- \(GT(x,\ y)\ \) is a comparator function that returns 1 if x > y, otherwise 0.
This logic ensures that the pump is activated when either solar radiation
exceeds 100 W/m² or there is a measurable hot water demand, without
requiring both conditions to occur simultaneously. The min function ensures
that the control signal does not exceed 1. This strategy prioritizes solar
energy utilization while ensuring a continuous hot water supply by
activating the pump only when necessary.
To enhance the understanding of this control logic, Figure 2-b illustrates
the decision-making flow for activating the pump, selecting solar or
auxiliary heating, and ensuring a continuous domestic hot water supply.
Figure 2-a:Energy management flow diagram.
Specifications of the auxiliary heater referenced in the flowchart are
listed below.
Table 1.Technical characteristics of the auxiliary fluid heater [52].
Parameters
Value
Unit
Auxiliary Fluid Heater
Type
138
-
Maximum heating rate
50000
kJ/hr
Efficiency of auxiliary heater
95
%
Set point temperature
60
℃
Specific heat of fluid
4.19
kJ/kg. K
4.4. Heat pump sizing and dynamic control strategy
EnergyPlus simulations provide precise data on the building’s heating and
cooling loads, enabling an optimized heat pump sizing strategy. The
objective is to meet peak loads without oversizing the system, thereby
reducing operational costs. Heating and cooling control signals are
determined as follows:
\(C_{heat}=\ GT\left(Q_{heat},\ 0\right)\)
(2)
\(C_{cool}=\ GT\left(Q_{cool},\ 0\right)\)
(3)
where:
-\(Q_{heat}\) and \(Q_{cool}\) (kJ/hr) represent the hourly heating and cooling loads, respectively.
-\(GT(a,\ b)\) is a logical function that returns 1 if a > b, ensuring that the heat
pump operates only when needed.
The predefined cooling and heating capacities for a single heat pump are
143,000 kJ/hr and 148,500 kJ/hr, respectively, with a maximum operational
limit of 16 heat pumps. The HVAC system dynamically adjusts the number of
active heat pumps based on real-time demand, ensuring optimal energy
efficiency.
Calculation of the Required Number of Heat Pumps:
\(N_c=\frac{Q_{cool}}{Cap_{cool}}\)
(4)
\(N_h=\frac{Q_{heat}}{Cap_{heat}}\)
(5)
where:
- \(Cap_{cool}\) and \(Cap_{heat}\) (kJ/hr) are the predefined cooling and heating capacities of a single heat pump.
- \(N_c\) and \(N_h\) represent the theoretical number of heat pumps required to meet the building’s hourly cooling and heating loads, respectively.
Since only full units of heat pumps can be operated, the decimal fraction
is removed using the modulo function:
\(N_c,eff\ =\ N_c-\ mod\left(N_c,1\right)\)
(6)
\(N_h,eff\ =\ N_h-\ mod\left(N_h,1\right)\)
(7)
Where:
- \(N_c,eff\) and \(N_h,eff\) are the effective integer values of required heat pumps after rounding down.
- \(mod\left(x,1\right)\) extracts the fractional part of x, ensuring only full heat pump units are considered.
Activation of Heat Pumps Based on Demand:
\(N_c,act\ =\ C_{cool}\times\ N_c,eff\)
(8)
\(N_h,act\ =\ C_{heat}\times\ N_h,eff\)
(9)
Where:
- \(N_c,act\) and \(N_h,act\) represent the number of heat pumps actively engaged in cooling and heating, respectively.
- \(C_{cool}\) and \(C_{heat}\) are control signals that determine whether heat pumps should be activated based on the presence of a cooling or heating load.
Determination of the Final Number of Operating Heat Pumps:
- \(N_c,act\) presents the maximum allowable number of heat pumps (16 units).
- The min function ensures that the total number of operating heat pumps never exceeds the system’s upper limit.
This approach enables a dynamic response to fluctuating thermal loads,
thereby enhancing the operational efficiency of heat pumps and reducing
operating costs by adjusting the number of active units according to actual
demand. Moreover, leveraging TRNSYS’s built-in equation-solving environment
eliminates the need to manually program models using general-purpose
platforms such as MATLAB or Python. This simplifies the simulation workflow
and enhances model integration within a framework specifically tailored to
thermal and energy systems. This dynamic control sequence is summarized in
Figure 2-c, which outlines the decision-making path for
detecting loads, computing units, and enforcing the system's upper limit of
16 heat pumps.
Figure 2-c:Energy management flow diagram.
Listed below are parameters governing heat pump unit selection.
A probabilistic approach was adopted to define the system’s upper design
limit of 16 heat pump units. As shown in Figure 3, the sorted hourly
thermal demand profiles over 8,760 hours reveal that only the top 2% of
hours (~175 hours) exceed this capacity. The convergence of the demand
curves across all cities below this threshold supports a unified design
criterion. This sizing method avoids oversizing based on absolute peaks and
ensures a balance between reliability, economic viability, and system
efficiency.
Figure 3:Sorted Thermal Loads with 2% Exceedance and Unified Design Limit.
The methodological approach adopted in this study integrates building
energy simulation, solar–geothermal system design, and performance
evaluation under varying climatic conditions. It begins with modeling the
architectural and thermal characteristics of the case-study building and
incorporating site-specific meteorological data. The next stage involves
the design and simulation of the electrical subsystem, including
photovoltaic panel placement and battery storage modeling, to ensure optimal
solar utilization and energy autonomy under spatial and shading constraints.
This is followed by the configuration of the geothermal borehole field based
on thermal properties and site geometry. A detailed techno-economic and
environmental assessment is then carried out to evaluate system performance
across multiple configurations. Finally, the analysis includes a critical
discussion of modeling assumptions, limitations, and sources of uncertainty,
which ultimately leads to a multi-objective optimization stage for selecting
the optimal hybrid system configuration. The overall simulation
workflow—ranging from SketchUp-based geometry modeling to
OpenStudio–EnergyPlus integration and TRNSYS-based dynamic simulation—is
summarized in Figure 4.
Figure 4:Energy Simulation Workflow Using OpenStudio and TRNSYS.
5.1. Building and Climate Setup
The college building spans 6,415 m², with a roof area of 1,660 m², and
consists of four floors. The ground floor includes a multi-purpose study
lounge, a boardroom, two lecture theaters, and a media complex, along with
nine faculty offices, restrooms for staff and students, a storeroom, a
utility room, a main entrance, a public elevator, and both main and
secondary staircases. The second and third floors share identical layouts,
each containing eight classrooms, a conference room, nine offices, and two
studios, along with restrooms for faculty and students, utility rooms, and
corridors—two on the third floor and one on the second. The upper floor
consists of six classrooms, a conference room, nine offices, and four
research laboratories, maintaining the same staircase and elevator
configuration as the lower levels. Overall, the building comprises 22
classrooms, 36 faculty offices, laboratories, studios, restrooms, utility
rooms, and shared spaces, designed to support academic and research
activities. It is constructed in compliance with ASHRAE standards, ensuring
high energy efficiency and optimal indoor environmental quality. The design
incorporates thermal insulation, energy-efficient windows.
The thermal properties of the walls, roof, and floors are detailed in Table
1. The WWR of 30.69% is optimized to balance daylight utilization and
energy efficiency, ensuring compliance with sustainability standards and
occupant comfort.
Table 3.Thermal Characteristics of the Building Envelope.
This study evaluates the system's performance in three Tunisian cities with
distinct climatic conditions: Gabes (33.8815° N, 10.0982° E), Beja
(36.7301° N, 9.1847° E), and Borma (32.7986° N, 10.3904° E). Gabes, located
near the southern coast, experiences a desert climate characterized by high
temperatures and low annual precipitation. Beja has a Mediterranean
climate, marked by cold, rainy winters and hot, dry summers. Borma,
situated in the southern desert, endures an extremely arid climate with
high temperatures and significant diurnal temperature variations. The
figure 4 illustrates the climatic classifications within Tunisia.
Meteorological data were obtained from the OneBuilding database [54], which
provides EnergyPlus-compatible Typical Meteorological Year (TMY) files
derived from historical measurements and satellite data., and annual
simulations of the building's electricity, heating, cooling, and hot water
demands were conducted for each location using EnergyPlus. The
Köppen-Geiger climate classificationas shown in Figure 5 aligns with these
climatic categorizations, ensuring consistency between the simulation inputs
and the actual climatic conditions of the studied regions [55]. This will
also be confirmed through the energy demand results, the level of grid
independence, and their alignment with the prevailing climatic conditions.
Figure 6 presents some of the schedules used in modeling the college
building.
Figure 5:Köppen–Geiger Climate Zoning of Tunisia: Mapping Beja, Gabes, and Borma.
Figure 6:Some schedule diagram intended to model a large office over a 24-hour period.
5.2 Electrical Subsystem Modeling
5.2.1 PV System Setup and Modeling
To accurately simulate the performance of the photovoltaic (PV) subsystem
within the hybrid energy configuration, a dual-installation strategy was
adopted. PV modules were distributed between the building's rooftop and an
adjacent open green area to optimize spatial utilization, reduce mutual
shading, and align electricity generation with the building's hourly energy
demand. Model outputs from OpenStudio were employed to ensure consistency
between solar energy availability and the building’s electrical load
profile.
For rooftop deployment, an East–West orientation was selected to enable
higher panel density and reduce tilt angle requirements while maintaining a
relatively uniform energy output throughout the day. This approach has been
shown to outperform conventional south-facing layouts in terms of yield per
unit area, particularly in constrained urban environments [56]. Seventy
percent of the rooftop area was designated for installation, and the number
of modules was calculated using:
- \({NPV}_{roof}\) : Total number of rooftop PV modules.
- \(A_{roof},usable\) : Usable rooftop area (70% of the total roof area).
- \(A_{PV},proj\) : Projected area of a single panel (accounting for tilt).
- \(mod\left(x,1\right)\) : Extracts the decimal part, ensuring the result is an integer.
In the green area, a south-facing configuration was adopted to maximize
solar irradiance during winter months. Inter-row spacing was determined to
minimize shading based on panel geometry and solar position. The minimum
required spacing was computed as [57]:
This formulation (Eq. 12) is derived from the trigonometric relationship
governing the projection of a tilted panel’s shadow onto the adjacent row.
The shading scenario was analyzed for the winter solstice, specifically the
hour following sunrise on December 21, when the sun is at its lowest
effective angle. The underlying geometric model is illustrated in Figure 7,
which shows the angular relationships and shadow lengths used to derive the
spacing requirement. Based on this analysis, a spacing of 2.19 m was
implemented to prevent self-shading and maximize annual energy capture.
Figure 7:Shading Geometry of Tilted PV Rows (Adapted from Malara et al., 2016).
To compute the real-time output of the PV system, a temperature- and
irradiance-dependent performance model was used
[58]
:
- \(P_{STC}\) : Rated power under standard test conditions (STC).
- \(\beta_p\) : Power temperature coefficient (%/°C).
- \(T_{cell}\) : PV cell temperature (°C).
- \(T_{STC}\) : Standard temperature (25°C).
- \(H_t\) : Real-time global irradiance (W/m²).
- \(H_{STC}\) : Reference irradiance at STC (1000 W/m²).
The PV cell temperature was estimated using an empirical linear correlation
[59]:
\(T_{cell}=T_\infty+7.8\times{10}^{-2}H_t\)
(14)
where:
- \(T_\infty\) : Ambient air temperature (°C).
- \(H_t\) : Incident solar irradiance (W/m²).
To reflect realistic deployment in such climates, a high-efficiency N-Type
TOPCon bifacial PV module was selected. Rated at 450 W, this technology
offers enhanced thermal stability, lower degradation rates, and bifacial
gains. These characteristics make it well-suited for semi-arid conditions
with high irradiance and temperature fluctuations. The main specifications
of the module are listed in Table 4.
This choice is further validated by findings from the Atlas of PV Solar
Systems across Libyan Territory, which emphasizes the strong thermal
resilience and bifacial performance advantages of N-Type modules in desert
and semi-desert environments [60].
Following this engineering approach, the final system layout comprised 470
rooftop panels and 667 ground-mounted panels. This configuration maximizes
spatial utilization, reduces mutual shading losses, and ensures a coherent
match between solar energy production and the building’s electrical demand.
Table 4.Electrical and physical characteristics of the selected PV module [61].
Parameter
Value
Unit
Type
103b
-
Module short-circuit current at reference conditions
14.45
A
Module open-circuit voltage at reference conditions
38.51
V
Module voltage at max power point and reference
conditions
33.11
V
Module current at max power point and reference
conditions
13.58
A
Rated Power (Pmax)
450 W
-
Efficiency
22.5%
-
Cell Type
N-Type TOPCon, bifacial
-
Number of Cells
108 half-cut monocrystalline
-
Dimensions
1762 × 1134 × 30 mm
mm
Operating Temperature Range
−40 °C to +85 °C
°C
Nominal Operating Cell Temp
43 °C ± 2 °C
°C
Power Temperature Coefficient
−0.30 %/°C
%/°C
Weight
Approx. 24.9 kg
kg
Mechanical Protection
Double-glass, hail-resistant
-
5.2.2. Battery Storage System
To support electrical autonomy and ensure continuity of supply during
periods of low solar production, a modular lithium-iron phosphate (LiFePO₄)
battery system was integrated into the hybrid energy configuration.
Designed for long-term stationary applications in institutional buildings,
the system provides enhanced reliability, operational safety, and capacity
scalability.
The battery and inverter components were modeled using Types 47 and 48 in
TRNSYS, with key operational parameters—such as round-trip efficiency,
inverter losses, and self-discharge rate defined according to manufacturer
data. The dynamic behavior of the battery was governed by the following
energy balance equation, implemented within the system’s control
strategy [62]:
- SoC(t): Battery state of charge at time t
- σ: Daily self-discharge rate
- \(P_{PV} (t)\): Power generated by the photovoltaic system (W).
- \(P_{L\left(t\right)}\): Electrical load demand at time t (W).
- \(\eta_{inv}\) : Inverter efficiency.
- \(\eta_b\) : Battery charge/discharge efficiency.
This formulation ensures accurate real-time tracking of energy flow between
the PV generation, load demand, and storage system, while accounting for
conversion losses and realistic charge–discharge behavior under varying
operating conditions.
Table 5.Battery Technical Specifications [63].
Parameter
Value
Type
Type 47
Battery Chemistry
LiFePO₄ (Lithium-Iron Phosphate)
Usable Energy Capacity (per unit)
13.44 kWh
Cycle Life @ 80% DoD
>5000 cycles
Charging Efficiency
95%
Inverter Efficiency
90%
Daily Self-Discharge Rate
1%
Thermal & Electrical Protection
Integrated
5.3 Geothermal Borehole Design and Simulation
The geothermal heat exchanger system in this study is modeled as a vertical
closed-loop field consisting of multiple boreholes, each 150 m in depth. To
evaluate thermal performance and long-term ground interaction, the system
was simulated using TRNSYS, integrating both thermal load variations and
field geometry effects. The methodology includes two main components: (1) a
robust numerical framework for ground temperature prediction, and (2) a
parametric evaluation of various borehole field configurations across the
selected Tunisian cities.
5.3.1 Ground Temperature Modeling in TRNSYS
To simulate the long-term thermal behavior of the borehole heat exchanger
field, the Duct Storage Model (DST) implemented in TRNSYS (Type 557) is
employed. Rather than solving the full transient 3D field T(r, z, t), the
model uses a semi-analytical approach based on precomputed g-functions to
capture the ground’s temperature response to a unit thermal pulse. This
method accounts for borehole depth, radius, spacing, and soil thermal
properties. The borehole wall temperature is estimated as
[64]:
Where \(T_b(t)\) is the borehole wall temperature, \(T_0\) is the undisturbed ground temperature, \(\ \dot{q}\) is the unit heat injection rate, \(\lambda_s\) is the soil thermal conductivity, \(r_b\) is the borehole radius, B is the spacing between boreholes, and H is the borehole depth.
The characteristic time \(t_s\) is defined as \(\frac{H^2}{9\alpha}\), where α is the ground thermal diffusivity.
To account for the cumulative effect of previous thermal loads, TRNSYS
applies a Multiple Load Aggregation Algorithm (MLAA). The fluid temperature
in the borehole loop is then approximated by [65]:
Where \(T_f\) is the average fluid temperature at time t, \(q_t\) is the thermal load, \(R_b\) is the borehole resistance, and \(T_p,t\) is a temperature penalty that accounts for long-term field interaction
. This methodology allows TRNSYS to capture
both transient and cumulative thermal behavior of the ground with
computational efficiency and has been validated in prior work.
The detailed input parameters used to characterize the borehole system are
listed in Table 6.
Table 6.Specifications of the Borehole GHX.
Parameters
Value
Unit
Type
103b
-
Header Depth
1
m
Borehole Radius
0.1016
m
Number of Boreholes in Series
1
-
Number of Radial Regions
1
-
Number of Vertical Regions
10
-
Storage Thermal Conductivity
4.68
kJ/hr.m.K
Storage Heat Capacity
2016
kJ/m3/K
Fill Thermal Conductivity
1.3
W/m.K
Pipe Thermal Conductivity
0.46
W/m.K
Gap Thermal Conductivity
5.04
kJ/hr.m.K
Gap Thickness
0
m
Insulation Indicator
0
-
Insulation Height Fraction
0.5
-
Insulation Thickness
0.0254
m
Insulation Thermal Conductivity
1
kJ/hr.m.K
Number of Simulation Years
1
-
Maximum Storage Temperature
100
C
Initial Surface Temperature of Storage Volume
7.96
C
Initial Thermal Gradient of Storage Volume
0
any
Number of Preheating Years
0
-
Maximum Preheat Temperature
15
C
Minimum Preheat Temperature
10
C
Thermal Conductivity of Layer
4.68
kJ/hr.m.K
Heat Capacity of Layer
2016
kJ/m3/K
Thickness of Layer
1000
m
5.3.2 Simulation of Borehole Configurations
was conducted across a wide range of configurations, combining different
borehole counts (Nb = 75, 90, 110, 130, 150, 170, 175) with varying spacing
distances (Sp = 4 m, 5 m, 6 m, 7 m, 8 m). This resulted in 35unique
configurations, each applied to the three case-study cities—Gabes, Beja,
and Borma—to assess their thermal performance under distinct climatic and
demand conditions. The simulations aimed to assess the thermal response and
long-term ground temperature behavior associated with each layout,
ultimately supporting the identification of thermally and spatially optimal
configurations prior to multi-objective optimization.
5.4 Techno-Economic and Environmental Assessment
5.4.1 Instantaneous Operating Cost Rate
To characterize the real-time economic burden associated with each system
component under a given configuration (i), the instantaneous operating cost rate (\({{\dot{Z}}_j}^{(i)}\)) is introduced. This metric expresses the cost of operating component j in
USD per second, based on its configuration-dependent capital cost (\({Z_j}^{(i)}\)), maintenance factor (\(\varphi\)), fixed annual operating hours (\(N_j\)), and component-specific service lifetime
(\(n_j\)). The capital recovery factor (\(CRF_j\)) is used to annualize the investment cost over time using a constant discount rate (r), typically ranging between 10% and 15% for renewable energy projects in
Africa [66], and is given by [67]:
Where m denotes the number of components in the system. This approach enables
consistent and equitable comparison of short-term economic performance
across design alternatives.
Table 7.Economic Input Parameters, Purchase Costs, and Calculation References [67].
The Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) is a widely adopted metric for
assessing the economic performance of renewable energy systems over their
lifetime. It represents the average cost per kilowatt-hour (kWh) of
electricity, incorporating both capital expenditures and recurrent operating
costs, while accounting for financial savings due to avoided grid
electricity purchases [68]. In photovoltaic-battery systems, the LCOE
provides critical insight into the cost-effectiveness of different design
configurations under specific regulatory and operational constraints. Given
Tunisia’s restrictive legal framework, which limits surplus PV electricity
sales through capped feed-in thresholds and mandates exclusive contracts
with the national utility [69], two LCOE formulations are employed:
- LCOE₁ is based on the total electricity generated by the PV system.
- LCOE₂ accounts solely for the clean electricity effectively consumed by
the building, thus reflecting the economic return on actual utilization.
Both indicators are derived from a net-cost perspective, in which the
financial benefit from avoiding grid electricity purchases is explicitly
subtracted from the system’s lifetime costs. The governing equations are:
Each term in these expressions is defined and calculated as follows:
- \(Z_{electric}\) : the total capital investment in the PV and battery system, including
modules, inverters, battery units, and associated components.
- \(NPV_{O\&M}\) : the net present value of operation and maintenance (O&M) costs over
the project’s lifetime.
Annual O&M expenses are calculated as a fixed percentage 6% of the
capital cost and are discounted using a defined rate over the system
lifespan:
where α is the annual O&M rate, r is the discount rate, and n is the project duration in years.
-\(NPV_{savings}\) and \(NPV_{savings}^{(i)}\): the present value of financial savings accrued by avoiding the purchase
of grid electricity. These are computed by multiplying the energy offset
from the grid by the unit price of electricity in each year and discounting
the result:
Where \(p_e\) is the grid electricity tariff, \(E_{pv}\) is the PV electricity produced in year t, and \(E_{clean,t}^{(i)}\) is the portion consumed by the building for configuration (i).
- \(NPV_{pv}\) and \({NPV_{clean\ }}^{(i)}\) : the present value of renewable energy produced and consumed,
respectively, over the project lifetime. These are calculated as:
By incorporating both cost flows and avoided grid electricity expenses,
this dual-formulation enables a robust comparison of system configurations.
LCOE₁ represents the theoretical minimum cost of energy production, while
LCOE₂ provides a policy-relevant metric that captures actual
self-consumption performance under restrictions on feeding surplus energy
into the grid.
5.4.3 Payback Time Estimation
The Payback Time (PBTM) metric quantifies the number of years required for
the cumulative financial savings resulting from avoided grid electricity
purchases to recover the total system investment [70]. It complements the
LCOE framework by shifting the analysis from unit cost to return period.
Two formulations are defined:
- PBTM₁, which assumes that all electricity generated by the PV system is
fully utilized.
- PBTM₂, which considers only the clean electricity actually consumed by
the building under configuration (i).
The evaluation procedure follows three main steps:
Step 1: Compute the Total Capital Cost
For each configuration i , the total capital cost \({Z_{total}}^{(i)}\) includes both the initial investment and the discounted O&M costs of
all system components:
While PBTM₁ reflects an optimistic return period under ideal utilization,
PBTM₂ offers a more conservative and policy-aligned estimate based on
actual self-consumption. Together, they provide a balanced perspective on
the economic viability of each configuration.
5.4.4 Environmental Damage Cost
To complement the techno-economic evaluation, this study quantifies the
environmental damage cost resulting from carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions
associated with grid electricity consumption. This cost represents a direct
monetary penalty linked to fossil-based power generation and is computed
using the following expression [71]:
\(C_{CO_2}\) : total environmental damage cost (USD/year).
\({EF}_{CO_2}\) : emission factor of grid electricity (kg CO₂/kWh).
\(E_t\) : annual electricity consumption from the grid (kWh/year).
\(\varphi_{CO_2}\): social cost of carbon, assumed to be 70 USD/ton CO₂ [72].
Following the methodology outlined in [71], this study adopts an emission
factor of 0.658 kg CO₂/kWh, derived from a recent life-cycle assessment of
gas-based power plants in Iran [73]. While the
referenced context pertains to Iran, where natural gas is also the primary
fuel, the emission factor remains applicable to Tunisia’s case, whose
electricity sector similarly relies almost entirely on gas, in contrast with
oil-dominant neighboring systems such as Libya [74].
5.5. Multi-Criteria Configuration Ranking
To ensure a balanced and sustainable hybrid renewable energy system design,
a multi-criteria optimization approach over a discrete configuration space
was adopted. This approach relied on the evaluation of 35 predefined
configurations per city, generated through TRNSYS simulations by varying
the number of geothermal boreholes (Nb) and their spacing (Sp). The
assessment focused on four key indicators: required borehole volume,
long-term thermal accumulation in the soil, instantaneous operating cost
rate, and the contribution of grid electricity to annual consumption. Based
on the Weighted Sum Model (WSM), the normalized indicators were aggregated
into a single objective function to rank system configurations according to
their composite performance,
in line with established methodologies in the sustainability assessment
literature [75].
5.5.1. Performance Scoring Methodology
Evaluation Indicators:
Each configuration X is evaluated based on the following four key
indicators:
V(X): Ground volume required for borehole deployment (m³)
G(X): Grid electricity contribution to annual consumption (MWh)
Configurations exceeding the critical thermal threshold of \(\mathrm{\Delta\ T}(X)\ \geq\ 4°C\) were excluded to ensure long-term ground stability.
Normalization:
To ensure fair comparison among indicators with different units and scales,
normalization was applied using the following formula for all indicators to
be minimized:
The weights reflect the relative importance of each indicator and are
summarized as follows:
Table 8.Optimization Indicators and Weights.
Indicator
Symbol
Objective
Weight (ω)
Soil Accumulation
ΔT
Minimize
0.50
Ground Volume
V
Minimize
0.25
Instantaneous Cost Rate
\(Ż(X)\)
Minimize
0.15
Grid Contribution
G
Minimize
0.10
Ranking Algorithm:
The following evaluation steps were performed:
1. Filter out all configurations violating the thermal stability condition
ΔT(X) ≥ 4°C.
2. Determine the minimum and maximum values for each indicator across the
remaining configurations.
3. Normalize all indicators using the above formula.
4. Compute the composite score F(X) for each configuration.
5. Rank configurations in descending order of F(X); the top-ranked
configuration is selected as optimal.
5.5.2. Analytical Significance
This optimization framework integrates thermal, economic, and spatial
considerations into a unified decision-making process. It prioritizes
thermal stability (through the dominant weight assigned to ΔT) while
ensuring that ground area usage, operational cost, and dependence on grid
electricity remain within acceptable limits. The methodology allows
policy-makers and designers to identify system configurations that are
technically viable, economically feasible, and environmentally appropriate
under local constraints.
5.6. Assumptions, Limitations, and Uncertainties
The proposed methodology is grounded in simulation-based evaluation, yet
several assumptions and uncertainties influence the precision and
transferability of the results:
Model Validation: No field data were available to
calibrate or validate the models; this limitation is acknowledged, and
future work will focus on field-based measurements to refine key
parameters and improve result reliability.
Assumptions: Ground thermal properties are
considered homogeneous; system components operate under ideal
control logic with no degradation or faults over the 30-year
lifespan.
Limitations: The TRNSYS DST model captures
long-term borefield dynamics using precomputed g-functions,
omitting short-term transients and subsurface heterogeneity. Dynamic
weather data is drawn from Typical Meteorological Year (TMY) files,
which may not reflect extreme climatic variability. The additional
pipe lengths required for wider borehole spacing are not modeled,
potentially underestimating pressure drops, auxiliary pump energy,
and associated thermal losses. The omission of battery
degradation may further limit the assessment of long-term system
viability.
Uncertainties: Total PV yield uncertainty is
~9.1%, driven by transposition modeling (6%), irradiance inputs,
and module temperature estimation (3.5%). Economic variability is
also significant—PV module prices, for instance, range between $980/kW
and $4510/kW, indicating a ±130% fluctuation margin.
These factors are in line with established modeling practices for hybrid
renewable energy systems and reflect a growing consensus in the literature
on the need for methodological transparency when accounting for real-world
operational variability [76].
This section begins by presenting the results of the reference
configuration, which consists of a system with 75 geothermal boreholes
spaced 4 meters apart. This configuration was selected as a suitable
starting point for evaluating the system’s performance under the assumed
climatic conditions, spatial constraints, and the building’s specific
energy demand. The results of this configuration revealed several critical
challenges, most notably a high level of thermal accumulation in the ground
(ΔT = 9.9°C), substantial reliance on electricity from the grid (32.65%),
and a significant environmental cost associated with this dependence. Based
on these findings, a multi-objective optimization approach was adopted to
identify the optimal configurations in terms of thermal performance,
economic feasibility, and environmental sustainability. Each configuration
was evaluated using four primary indicators: ground thermal accumulation,
total borefield volume, instantaneous cost rate (Ż̇), and the level of
dependency on the national electricity grid. In addition to these
indicators, payback time (PBTM) and levelized cost of energy (LCOE) were
incorporated as supplementary metrics to reflect the economic viability of
each configuration, enabling a comprehensive comparison that accounts for
the technical, environmental, and financial dimensions of the energy system
under study. Simulation results are shown in Table 9. These results
correspond to the reference configuration, which served as the baseline for
evaluating and comparing the subsequent system configurations.
Table 9.summarizes climate-based energy demand, guiding the optimization.
City
Climate Type
Annual Energy Demand (MWh)
Remarks
Borma
Hot arid
1052.51
Highest demand due to harsh climatic conditions
Gabes
Hot semi-arid
996.59
Moderately high demand
Beja
Mild Mediterranean
977.86
Lowest demand due to temperate climate
Figure 8a and 8b illustrate the hourly distribution of electricity and hot
water demand for the reference configuration. The plots reveal a recurring
daily pattern of higher daytime consumption and lower night-time demand,
with seasonal fluctuations reflecting climatic and operational differences
across the three cities. The hot water demand was assumed identical across
locations, allowing the analysis to focus on how electric heater
consumption impacts the total load in each climate.
Figure 8a:Hourly Power Demand Across the Year – Beja, Gabes, and Borma.
Figure 8b:Hourly Hot Water Demand – Common Profile for All Cities.
Figure 9 shows the annual electricity consumption breakdown by load type
for the reference configuration. Lighting and electrical equipment
represent the largest share, followed by heating and cooling systems, while
the contribution of circulation pumps remains limited. Heat pump
consumption is highest in Borma and lowest in Beja, while Beja also records
relatively high electric heater usage due to reduced solar radiation during
frequent cloudy periods.
Figure 9:Annual Electricity Use by Load Type per City – Reference Configuration.
Figure 10 illustrates the hourly distribution of annual heating and cooling
loads across the three cities. The results reveal a clear dominance of
cooling demand, particularly from May to October, while heating needs
remain limited in both duration and intensity. Thepeak
cooling loads reached approximately 1175 kW in Beja,1051 kW
in Gabes, and 870 kW in Borma,whereaspeak
heating loads ranged between 324 kW and 416 kW. It should be noted that
these loads represent the ideal case where no upper limit is set on the
number of active heat pump units. As mentioned in the methodology section,
the system was constrained to a maximum of 16 units, intentionally leaving
rare peak demands unmet to reduce investment costs. Nevertheless, these
theoretical loads reveal the underlying thermal imbalance between heating
and cooling a pattern that persists even under the 16-unit constraint,
highlighting the climatic characteristics of the studied regions. This
persistent thermal imbalance stands as the primary driver of ground heat
accumulation, the severity of which varies across configurations depending
on the number and spacing of boreholes.
Figure 10:Annual Hourly Heating and Cooling Load Profiles – Beja, Gabes, and Borma.
The annual simulation of battery performance, as illustrated in Figure 12,
reveals a clear contrast between winter and summer in terms of charging and
discharging behavior. InJuly, high solar radiation levels,
as shown in Figure 11, enabled daily average states of charge to exceed 50%
across all locations, allowing the battery system to reliably cover
nighttime demand. In contrast, January exhibited significantly lower
radiation, with the average state of charge dropping to around 17%, leading
to rapid battery depletion and increased reliance on the electrical grid.
Figure 11:Hourly Photovoltaic Power Generation over the Year – Beja, Gabes, and Borma.
While the proposed optimization primarily addresses the issue of thermal
imbalance caused by dominant cooling loads, it also contributes positively
to reducing grid dependency, as will be discussed later. Nonetheless, the
results highlight the need to explore complementary solutions, such as
integrating additional energy sources alongside PV, to mitigate the winter
shortfall .
Figure 12:Battery State of Charge Over the Year – Beja, Gabes, and Borma.
The simulation results for the reference configuration, which assumes a
limited surface area for ground heat exchanger installation—with boreholes
installed beneath part of the area designated for photovoltaic panels to
optimize land use—revealed a progressive pattern of thermal accumulation in
the soil due to the close spacing of boreholes. This buildup is reflected
in the gradual rise in both the ground temperature and the temperature of
the fluid returning to the geothermal heat pump, as illustrated in Figure
13. Such thermal imbalance increases operational stress on the heat pump,
reduces its coefficient of performance (COP) by up to 20%, with variations
observed across the three cities following the same imbalance-driven
pattern, and raises energy consumption, potentially leading to early system
failure during the initial years of operation. This challenge is
particularly relevant in cooling-dominated climates, such as Tunisian
cities. The scenario underscores the limitations of the 75/4 borefield
configuration in achieving long-term thermal balance, thereby highlighting
the need to explore alternative borefield layouts that ensure more stable
performance while addressing sustainability goals and spatial
constraints—topics addressed in the following sections.
Figure 13:Evolution of Soil and Fluid Temperatures Over Three Years in Beja – Reference Configuration.
Simulation results show that the energy system, under the adopted reference
configuration, remains partially dependent on the electrical grid, with the
extent of reliance varying by location and season. In Beja, grid
electricity covers 32.65% of the annual energy demand, compared to 26.67%
in Gabes and 27.34% in Borma, reflecting regional differences in solar
contribution, as illustrated in Figure 14.
Figure 14:Distribution of Annual Electricity
Supply between Grid and Renewable Sources under the Reference Geothermal
Configuration (Nb = 75, Sp = 4 m).
This dependency is primarily attributed to the system’s design parameters,
particularly the limited battery capacity, which is sized for only one day
of autonomy and may be fully discharged during extended periods of low
solar radiation. Additionally, the restricted number of PV panels is
insufficient to meet total demand on cloudy days unless a significantly
larger array is installed. While the thermal configuration (75 boreholes
spaced at 4 meters) does lead to increased power consumption by the
geothermal heat pump during summer, due to thermal accumulation and reduced
cooling efficiency, its impact on overall grid reliance remains secondary
compared to the PV-battery design constraints. In fact, during winter, the
elevated ground temperature can enhance heat pump efficiency during
heating, partially offsetting energy use. Nevertheless, the persistent
imbalance between cooling and heating loads, as shown in Figure 15, remains
a structural challenge that requires rethinking the ground exchanger layout
within more balanced configurations.
Figure 15:Heat Pump Load Variation
across Tunisian Cities – Reference Configuration.
The instantaneous cost rate (\(Ż(X)\)) serves as a dynamic indicator for evaluating the economic burden
associated with each system component throughout its operational lifetime.
In the adopted reference configuration, which includes 75 boreholes, the
total system cost rate is approximately 7.0×10⁻³ $/s across all three
cities, owing to the identical component setup. As shown in Figure 16,
batteries account for the largest share of system cost (around 36%),
followed by the borehole field (approximately 34%) and the geothermal heat
pump (about 19%). The remaining components, including PV panels, solar
collectors, piping, and circulation pumps, collectively represent less than
10% of the total Ż̇.
Figure 16:Component-Wise Cost Rate Distribution – Reference Configuration
(Log Scale).
The following results correspond to the adopted reference configuration and
are presented to establish a baseline for comparison. While some economic
metrics may appear more favorable at this stage, they come at the cost of
thermal performance. From an economic standpoint, two distinct formulations
of the LCOE were considered, to reflect different policy scenarios. LCOE₁
assumes full utilization of PV generation (i.e., surplus energy is sold to
the grid), while LCOE₂ reflects a more conservative approach aligned with
the current regulatory context, whereselling surplus energy
to the national grid is restricted or capped. Under these assumptions,
LCOE₂ ranges from 0.113 $/kWh in Beja to 0.078 $/kWh in Borma, whereas
LCOE₁ drops significantly, reaching 0.031 $/kWh in Beja and 0.023 $/kWh in
Borma. Similarly, PBTM were calculated. PBTM₁ reflects scenarios with
surplus energy sales, while PBTM₂ represents the current policy framework
where self-consumption dominates. The results indicate that PBTM₂ can exceed
41 years in Beja and decrease to 34 years in Borma, while PBTM₁ remains
between 23 and 25 years, highlighting the long-term economic benefits of
supportive renewable energy policies. On the environmental side, the system
incurs a notable damage cost due to grid electricity usage whenever solar
PV and batteries are unable to meet demand. This cost ranges from $13,800
to $16,400 annually, depending on the city.
Building on the preceding thermal, economic, and environmental indicators,
the analysis is extended through the integration of a detailed
techno-economic breakdown, which presents the component-wise cost
distribution across all configurations, with the total instantaneous system
cost being one of the primary indicators used for ranking and comparison,
as shown in figure17. This framework offers a comprehensive analytical tool
to link thermal performance with economic burden, enabling a systematic
transition from the reference setup toward more optimized configurations
through amulti-dimensional assessment that balances cost,
thermal efficiency, spatial constraints, and sustainability.
Figure 17:Instantaneous Cost Comparison across System Configurations.
Simulation results show that increasing the number of boreholes, along with
improving their spatial distribution, leads to a gradual rise in the share
of clean energy, increasing from 67.35% in configuration (Nb = 75 / Sp =
4 m) to 70.08% in (Nb = 175 / Sp = 8 m). This reflects a cumulative effect
of both the number and spacing of boreholes, as illustrated in Figure 18.
However, the rate of improvement diminishes progressively, especially at
larger spacings, indicating that the system is approaching a saturation
point under the given climatic and design conditions. A similar trend in
clean energy shares is observed in Gabes and Borma, where higher levels are
attained due to more favorable solar conditions.
Figure 18:Clean Energy Share vs. Borefield Configuration – Three Cities.
These results highlight that a well-planned expansion of boreholes, with a
carefully designed layout, contributes to enhanced energy autonomy and
mitigates ground thermal accumulation. For instance, ΔT decreases from
9.9 °C in configuration (Nb = 75 / Sp = 4 m) to 1.23 °C in (Nb = 175 / Sp =
8 m), as shown in Figure 19. This decline indicates a more balanced thermal
state in the ground, which is crucial for long-term system stability, as
uncontrolled accumulation could lead to a gradual decline in geothermal
heat pump performance.A comparable yet more pronounced
accumulation is observed in Gabes and Borma, likely due to increased solar
exposure.
Figure 19:Soil Temperature Rise (ΔTₛₒᵢₗ) vs. Borefield Configuration –
Beja, Gabes, and Borma.
In parallel, the environmental damage cost associated with grid electricity
emissions shows a steady decline with increased borehole numbers and
spacing, as depicted in Figure 20. At a fixed spacing of 4 meters, this
cost drops from $16,460.29 (Nb = 75) to $14,439.35 (Nb = 175), reflecting a
12.3% reduction. When the spacing increases from 4 m to 8 m (at Nb = 175),
the cost decreases slightly further to $14,307.34—a marginal reduction of
0.9%. It is worth noting that these expansions were not initially aimed at
reducing emissions, but rather at addressing the more critical issue of
ground thermal imbalance. Nonetheless, the resulting environmental benefit
is significant and has been incorporated into the analysis given its
relevance to the overall sustainability of the system. Comparable patterns
are also noted in Gabes and Borma, shaped by their distinct climatic and
demand profiles.
Figure 20:Environmental Damage Cost vs. Borefield Configuration – Beja,
Gabes, and Borma.
However, these benefits come at the expense of substantial land use, as
illustrated in Figure 21. The required ground volume increases from
155,862 m³ to 1,454,714 m³ between the smallest and largest configurations,
posing practical challenges in terms of implementation and site
feasibility—particularly in urban settings or locations with strict spatial
constraints.
Figure 21:Required Ground Volume vs. Borehole Number and Spacing.
Despite the improvements observed at both the thermal and environmental
levels, the system’s instantaneous cost rate (\(Ż(X)\)) exhibits a rising trend with the expansion of borehole configurations,
reflecting the growing financial burden associated with increasing the
number of boreholes. For instance, (\(Ż(X)\)) increases from approximately 6.994 × 10⁻³ $/s in configuration (Nb = 75 /
Sp = 4 m) to 1.025 × 10⁻² $/s in configuration (Nb = 175 / Sp = 8 m),
representing a rise of about 46.6%. This escalation is mainly attributed to
the additional investment required for drilling and piping, highlighting
the need for careful trade-offs between thermal and environmental
performance on one hand, and economic feasibility on the other—especially
in projects constrained by budget or space.
Based on the multi-criteria evaluation method, the composite objective
function F(X) was calculated for all configurations that satisfy the thermal
stability constraint (\(\mathrm{\Delta}T_{soil}\)< 4°C). This function integrates four main indicators: long-term soil
thermal accumulation, borefield ground volume, instantaneous operating cost
rate, and annual grid electricity contribution. The weights reflect the
priority of thermal sustainability (0.50), followed by ground volume
(0.25), cost rate (0.15), and grid reliance (0.10). In Beja, the optimal
configuration was found to be (Nb=90 / Sp=8m), achieving a score of F(X) = 0.625, reflecting a balanced trade-off between low operating cost,
acceptable thermal performance, and moderate grid reliance. In Gabes, the
best performance was observed for (Nb=150 / Sp=8m), which achieved the
highest thermal stability and lowest grid contribution, but at the expense
of a large ground volume (F(X) = 0.580). In Borma, configuration (Nb=110 / Sp=8m) yielded the best score ( F(X) = 0.545), demonstrating a balance between thermal and economic indicators
without a clear advantage in any specific area. Its strength lies in the
absence of trade-offs, making it a stable yet moderately efficient
solution. Overall, the configurations selected via F(X) represent
well-calibrated and promising options, though further improvements remain
necessary particularly in reducing spatial requirements and integrating
complementary cooling strategies to ensure long-term system stability. The
characteristics of these top-performing configurations, based on their
integrated thermal, technical, and economic profiles, are summarized in
Table 10 and Table 11, which respectively present the thermal-technical and
techno-economic attributes of the selected solutions in each city.
Table 10.Top Configurations per City Based on F(X).
City
Configuration
F(X)
\(\mathrm{\Delta}T_{soil}\)(°C)
Ground Volume (m³)
Grid Contribution (MWh)
\(Ż(X)\) Cost Rate ($/s)
Beja
Nb=90 / Sp=8m
0.625
2.36
748,138.87
310.99
0.007
Gabes
Nb=150 / Sp=8m
0.580
1.48
1,246,898.12
216.86
0.009
Borma
Nb=110 / Sp=8m
0.545
2.61
914,391.96
248.95
0.008
Table 11.LCOE and PBTM Values for Optimal Configurations.
City
Configuration
<\strong>
F(X)
LCOE₁ ($/kWh)
LCOE₂ ($/kWh)
PBTM₁ (years)
PBTM₂ (years)
Beja
Nb=90 /
Sp=8m
0.625
0.03129
0.11420
26.52
44.35
Gabes
Nb=150 / Sp=8m
0.580
0.02999
0.09116
33.28
49.96
Borma
Nb=110 / Sp=8m
0.545
0.02278
0.07984
26.90
40.27
LCOE₁ and PBTM₁ are based on total PV production; LCOE₂ and PBTM₂ on
actual clean energy used. The gap reflects policy barriers to surplus
compensation, which delay cost recovery and hinder the energy
transition.
Tunisia’s regulatory framework [77] imposes two key
constraints on self-production from renewable energy: (1) only systems with
an installed capacity below 1 MW are exempt from pre-authorization, and (2)
self-producers are allowed to sell no more than 30% of their surplus
electricity to the grid, at a fixed price and exclusively to STEG. These
restrictions reduce the financial appeal of larger decentralized renewable
energy systems and hinder broader market participation. Despite
these limitations, the LCOE₂ values for the selected configurations
(0.0798–0.1142 $/kWh) compare favorably with recent studies, including
0.0745 $/kWh in Rwanda’s grid-connected PV system [15],
0.132 $/kWh for an off-grid hybrid system in Libya [59], 0.233 $/kWh in
Gaza’s solar street lighting project [58], and 0.313 $/kWh in a fully
isolated HRES in Palestine [76]. These differences reflect variations in
irradiance, system scale, storage needs, and grid accessibility.
Sensitivity to Weight Variations:
To assess the robustness of the evaluation model, a sensitivity analysis
was conducted by altering the weights assigned to the four indicators using
three alternative sets:
w1: Emphasizing cost and ground volume at the expense of \(\mathrm{\Delta}T_{soil}\).
w2: Equal weight distribution among \(\mathrm{\Delta}T_{soil}\), ground volume, and cost rate.
w3: Prioritizing thermal performance \(\mathrm{\Delta}T_{soil}\) with reduced weight on ground volume.
Results showed that rankings were highly sensitive to weight adjustments.
Several configurations moved up by 20–40 positions under alternative weight
sets. For example, the configuration (Nb=90 / Sp=7m) in Gabes rose from
rank 47 to rank 5 under w2. Similarly, in Borma, some configurations
improved their thermal ranking significantly under w3.
The most sensitive configurations are summarized in Table 12.
Table 12.Top Configurations Most Sensitive to Weight Variations.
City
Configuration
Base Rank
Rank w1
Δ Rank w1
Rank w2
Δ Rank w2
Rank w3
Δ Rank w3
Gabes
Nb=90 / Sp=7m
47
19
▲ +28
5
▲ +42
35
▲ +12
Gabes
Nb=75 / Sp=8m
44
18
▲ +26
7
▲ +37
29
▲ +15
Beja
Nb=75 / Sp=7m
43
14
▲ +29
6
▲ +37
34
▲ +9
Borma
Nb=90 / Sp=8m
42
20
▲ +22
8
▲ +34
21
▲ +21
Borma
Nb=110 / Sp=7m
55
44
▲ +11
22
▲ +33
47
▲ +8
While weight allocations are subject to policy and economic framing, core
design constraints such as thermal accumulation remain technically binding,
as exceeding them compromises system performance and longevity.
Spatial Constraints and Complementary Solutions:
While the composite objective function effectively guided the selection of
balanced configurations, the prevailing load imbalance typical of African
climates consistently results in extensive ground area requirements and a
gradual thermal accumulation that remains present over time. Although these
effects have been partially mitigated, they underscore the need for
complementary solutions such as thermal dissipation strategies or adaptive
spatial design. Potential options include the integration of cooling towers
or redirecting excess heat toward swimming pools in hotels or sports
complexes. These strategies represent promising avenues for future research
aimed at alleviating long-term ground thermal stress.
This study presents a methodologically grounded assessment of a
solar–geothermal hybrid energy system deployed across three climatically
distinct Tunisian cities—Borma, Gabes, and Beja. High-resolution dynamic
simulations using OpenStudio and TRNSYS began with a reference configuration
(Nb=75 / Sp=4m) to analyze thermal behavior, grid interaction, and seasonal
load variation. Initial results revealed significant thermal imbalance, with
peak cooling demands (660 kW) far exceeding heating needs (324–416 kW),
causing soil temperature accumulation (ΔT = 9.9°C) and elevated grid
dependency. Battery performance was highly seasonal, averaging over 50%
daily charge in July versus just 17% in January, reflecting limited solar
availability in winter. Optimization showed that increasing borehole number
and adjusting spacing reduced ΔT to 1.23°C while increasing clean energy
contribution from 67.35% to 70.08%. However, this improvement came with a
46.6% rise in instantaneous cost rate (\(Ż(X)\)) and a 12.3% reduction in environmental damage costs associated with grid
electricity use. Trade-offs between thermal relief, land usage, and
economic feasibility were evident. Similar thermal imbalance patterns were
observed in Gabes and Borma, primarily driven by high cooling loads.
However, the abundance of solar irradiance in these regions supported a
higher share of renewable energy. These findings highlight the critical
role of local climate in shaping system performance, particularly the
complex relationship between solar availability, energy demand, and
long-term thermal stress.
Economic viability was highly sensitive to policy context:
Under restrictive regulations (LCOE₂), cost ranged from $0.078 to
$0.113/kWh with PBTM₂ of 34–41 years.
Under supportive frameworks (LCOE₁), LCOE dropped to
$0.023–$0.031/kWh and PBTM₁ to 23–25 years.
To support the broader adoption of solar–geothermal hybrid energy systems,
this study recommends the following strategic policy directions:
Expand the PROSOL program [78] to include hybrid systems, with a focus
on institutional buildings and high-demand applications.
Establish favorable financing mechanisms , such as
concessional loans or performance-based grants, to reduce the high
upfront costs associated with geothermal drilling.
Implement enabling regulatory frameworks, such as net metering or
feed-in tariffs, to improve system profitability and shorten the
payback period.
The realism and responsiveness of the simulation environment can be further
improved in future studies through the following TRNSYS-based enhancements:
Integrate flexible demand-side management (DSM) strategies, by
adjusting load schedules within TRNSYS to prioritize the operation
of high-consumption equipment (e.g., heat pumps) during peak solar
production hours. This reduces reliance on the grid without
compromising user comfort.
Import real-world operational data, such as actual temperature
profiles or electricity consumption from existing systems, to
calibrate the model and ensure alignment with local operating
conditions.
Design and implement new TRNSYS configurations, such as swimming
pools connected to ground heat exchangers or other types of
thermal storage systems, to explore alternative strategies for
mitigating long-term soil thermal accumulation.
Explore the integration of cooling towers into the hybrid system,
as a potential solution to reduce progressive heat buildup in the
ground. This option requires further analysis to assess its
economic viability and potential impact on reducing grid dependency.
Altogether, this study offers a structured foundation for guiding policy,
refining modeling approaches, and advancing the practical deployment of
hybrid solar–geothermal systems in climate-sensitive regions.
Author Contributions:YN: conceptualization, methodology, data curation, formal analysis,
visualization, writing—original draft. HD: conceptual guidance, supervision,
methodological refinement, writing—review and editing.
Funding:The authors have not disclosed any funding.
Data Availability Statement:Not applicable.
Conflicts of Interest:The authors declare no known conflicts of interest.
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